My research sits at the crossroads of economics, sustainability, and security at a moment when Europe’s green transition is being reshaped by forces far beyond technology or market incentives. My work follows a clear guiding question: What does it take for countries to decarbonize in a world defined by geopolitical shocks, financial constraints, and rapid technological change?
From the Greater North European Energy Corridor to the industrial heartlands of Germany and France, My recent publications chart how sustainability outcomes emerge from the interaction of industrial structure, innovation, macro-financial conditions, and political risk.
A central theme in my recent work is that Europe’s decarbonization cannot be separated from its security environment or macro-financial climate. My study on the Greater North European Energy Corridor shows how geopolitical instability and monetary tightening shape renewable deployment across Belgium, Denmark, Finland, Germany, the Netherlands, Norway, Sweden, and the United Kingdom. Using a quantile-based approach, the research uncovers how geopolitical pressure pushes advanced transition leaders to accelerate diversification, while rising borrowing costs slow progress among countries still climbing the transition ladder.
This work introduces a new way of thinking about Europe’s energy landscape: as a corridor system where security risks and financial conditions interact, rather than as separate drivers. The result is one of the first empirical frameworks describing how Europe’s green ambitions are filtered through geopolitical shocks and financial fragility. It positions As a researcher, my work contributes directly to current EU-level debates on energy security, strategic autonomy, and climate resilience.
Manufacturing, innovation, and ecological performance
In my recently published article, “Green Kaldorian Growth: A Framework for Linking Manufacturing, Innovation, and Sustainability,” we extend classical structural growth theory into ecological territory. Applying this framework to Germany, we show how medium- and low-technology manufacturing can reduce environmental sustainability in ways that traditional models overlook. Using the load capacity factor and the Fourier Asymmetric ARDL approach, we demonstrate that positive shocks to traditional manufacturing harm sustainability nearly twice as much as negative shocks improve it. The study reveals an urgent need to redirect innovation away from fossil-intensive industrial paths and toward renewable technologies capable of generating the positive spillovers envisioned in Kaldorian theory. This work breaks new ground by linking structural change and environmental outcomes in advanced economies—an empirical gap that has long limited policy discussions on green industrial strategy.
AI, innovation, and the future of sustainability
Across multiple studies, I also explore the transformational role of artificial intelligence in shaping environmental outcomes. My publications on Germany show how AI and energy innovation interact with sustainability in nonlinear and asymmetric ways. While positive AI shocks do not improve environmental sustainability, targeted energy R&D and long-run innovation capacity play a decisive role in reducing ecological pressures. This research strengthens the emerging view that AI is neither a guaranteed environmental solution nor an inherent threat, but a tool whose sustainability impact depends on institutional design, innovation systems, and complementary investments.
My broader work across the United States further illustrates how technology-intensive sectors and traditional industries differ dramatically in their contributions to environmental sustainability, highlighting the need for strategic industrial transformation rather than reliance on innovation alone
A wider macroeconomic perspective
My broader portfolio also examines macroeconomic pressures that influence sustainability transitions. My research on inflation dynamics, for example, shows how post-pandemic inflation in Türkiye was driven more by profit-led cost-push factors than by conventional demand-pull explanations, an insight that adds depth to my analyses of financing constraints in renewable energy deployment
My work argues that sustainability is no longer simply an environmental or technological challenge. It is a strategic one shaped by political risks, production systems, financial conditions, and emerging technologies. My research offers policymakers, industry leaders, and international organizations a more realistic, corridor-specific understanding of what can accelerate or hinder progress toward Europe’s climate targets.
With ongoing projects in ecological macroeconomics, machine learning for sustainability, and structural risk analysis, I continue to push the conversation forward—toward a greener, more resilient, and strategically informed transition.